1. Juan Soto will win the Triple Crown.
Why it’s preposterous: For starters, main the league in batting reasonable, house runs and RBI is likely one of the rarest feats in baseball. Miguel Cabrera’s monstrous season for the Detroit Tigers in 2012 was once MLB’s first Triple Crown marketing campaign in 45 years. The closing Nationwide Leaguer to do it was once Joe Medwick of the St. Louis Cardinals … in 1937. If Soto bats 2d within the order, as he has once in a while performed all through spring coaching, his RBI alternatives might be restricted.
Why it will occur: Soto captured what’s known as the sabermetric Triple Crown all through closing yr’s shortened season, main the NL in batting reasonable (.350), on-base proportion (.490) and slugging proportion (.695). Via 3 seasons, the 22-year-old’s numbers examine favorably with the ones of Corridor of Famer Ted Williams, who gained the Triple Crown in 1942 and 1947. Who’s to mention that Soto, who’s projected to hit more or less 40 house runs this season, gained’t proceed to recover? “You by no means know,” Soto advised MLB Community when requested in December about the potential of including a Triple Crown to his already spectacular résumé. “Perhaps. I’m hoping so. I’m going to stay grinding, guy. You by no means know.”
2. Victor Robles will scouse borrow 40 bases.
Why it’s preposterous: Robles registered a paltry 4 stolen bases in 5 makes an attempt as a part of his dreadful 2020 marketing campaign, all through which he hit .220 with a career-worst 28 % strikeout charge. Robles had 28 steals in 37 makes an attempt in 155 video games the yr sooner than, a less-than-ideal luck charge for somebody with hopes of attaining 40 steals.
Why it will occur: Robles, who will flip 24 in Would possibly, shed some weight all through the offseason and simplified his method on the plate this spring. The early returns were sure. If Robles can keep wholesome and get on base at a greater clip than the .293 on-base proportion he posted closing season, he has the velocity atop the order to enroll in Trea Turner and Alfonso Soriano as the one Nationals gamers to eclipse 40 stolen bases in a season. (Nyjer Morgan completed with 42 steals in 2009, however 18 of the ones got here sooner than Washington got him in a business with the Pittsburgh Pirates.)
three. Josh Bell and Kyle Schwarber will mix to hit 70 house runs.
Why it’s preposterous: The one time a couple of Nationals gamers mixed to hit a minimum of 70 house runs was once in 2009, when Adam Dunn (38) and Ryan Zimmerman (33) did it for a 103-loss crew. Bell and Schwarber, two of Washington’s largest offseason acquisitions, are coming off down years. Bell hit .226/.305/.364 with 8 house runs in 57 video games for the Pirates, whilst Schwarber hit a career-low .188/.308/.393 with 11 house runs in 59 video games for the Chicago Cubs. Bell has hit simplest 18 house runs for the reason that all-star ruin in 2019. Schwarber hasn’t ever hit lefties neatly (.197/.301/.348).
Why it will occur: They weren’t teammates on the time, however Bell and Schwarber hit 37 and 38 house runs, respectively, in 2019. The shortened 2020 season was once so ordinary that it’s no longer unreasonable to chalk up their performances to the small pattern dimension and be expecting each 28-year-olds to bop again in a large manner. Maximum projection methods peg Bell and Schwarber to mix for more or less 60 dingers, so an extra 10 isn’t all that far-fetched. Each gamers were locked on this spring.
four. The Nationals will win 100 video games.
Why it’s preposterous: The Nationals play in what figures to be probably the most aggressive and hardest department in baseball, and maximum projection methods, together with the only at FanGraphs, have them because the third-best crew within the NL East at the back of the Braves and Mets. On most sensible of the query marks within the lineup and beginning rotation, Washington’s protection will take successful with Bell and Schwarber within the box. The Nationals have by no means gained greater than 98 video games in a season.
Why it will occur: Can Stephen Strasburg go back to shape after carpal tunnel surgical treatment and keep wholesome all over the season? Will Max Scherzer, who will flip 37 in July, proceed to defy age and revert to his pre-pandemic greatness? After posting a four.66 ERA closing yr, can Patrick Corbin pitch extra just like the International Sequence hero who controlled a three.25 ERA in 2019? If the solution to all 3 of the ones questions is sure, Washington may just run away with the department name. Jon Lester and Joe Ross make for a forged again finish of the rotation, and the bullpen is usually a energy of this crew for a transformation. Talking of …
five. Washington’s bullpen may have the bottom ERA within the Nationwide League.
Why it’s preposterous: The protecting International Sequence champion Los Angeles Dodgers go back nearly everybody from a bullpen that posted a 2.74 ERA in 2020. Washington’s four.68 bullpen ERA was once fourth worst within the Nationwide League closing yr. Will Harris is coping with an ailment in his proper arm that was once at the beginning believed to be a blood clot and can open the season at the injured checklist, loose agent acquisition Brad Hand’s fastball speed isn’t what it as soon as was once, and Tanner Rainey continues to paintings his long ago from a muscle pressure that value him the primary month of spring coaching.
Why it will occur: Hand, who signed a one-year, $10.five million maintain Washington, has a 2.70 ERA in 320 innings with San Diego and Cleveland since changing into a full-time reliever in 2016. Final yr, he led the American League in saves (16) in spite of a median fastball speed of 91.four mph, which was once down from his height of 94 mph in 2018. Hand, who posted a career-best 7.25-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio closing yr, is predicted to deal with the nearer function. Rainey allowed 8 hits and struck out 32 in 20⅓ innings closing season, and Wander Suero has appeared dominant this spring. Daniel Hudson, who posted a 6.10 ERA closing season, struggled in West Palm Seaside, however the 34-year-old has a monitor report of luck.